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05-29-2022, 11:15 AM
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#21
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Rivet Master
2022 28' Pottery Barn
¯\_(ツ)_/¯
, California
Join Date: Oct 2021
Posts: 652
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The THOR study is what I expected it to be.
Due to inflation and gas prices, Disneyland will have just as many single visitors, just for a day fewer each trip with one less snow cone per kid, per day.
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05-29-2022, 11:27 AM
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#22
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3 Rivet Member
1972 25' Tradewind
East Lansing
, Michigan
Join Date: Aug 2017
Posts: 183
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 63air
We visited Middlebury, Indiana last week. This town is home to a multitude of RV manufacturing brands and suppliers. There are hundreds of finished units stored everywhere. We even saw them stored in church and bowling alley parking lots. Just wondering if it's a shipping issue or are things in the RV business coming to a halt do to over supply. What's also interesting at the same time is help wanted signs were everywhere. Just wondering if any one from the area knows what the explanation is.
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Hundreds? I noticed thousands of new RV's in that area just two weeks ago!!!
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05-29-2022, 11:33 AM
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#23
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4 Rivet Member
Little falls
, New York
Join Date: Jul 2019
Posts: 457
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WOAAAH. Here we go with the snobbery….
Quote:
Originally Posted by WellSaid11
Airstreams are not SOB trailers. Many (but not all) of these theories do not apply as they do to the SOB markets and their respective owners.
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05-29-2022, 11:41 AM
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#24
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Rivet Master
2022 28' Pottery Barn
¯\_(ツ)_/¯
, California
Join Date: Oct 2021
Posts: 652
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Not snobbery at all, it is an economic reality. Different purchase generally from most SOBs.
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05-29-2022, 12:13 PM
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#25
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2020 Globetrotter 25 FBT
2020 25' Globetrotter
Wildwood
, Missouri
Join Date: Aug 2009
Posts: 2,607
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I was at our local AS dealer yesterday. I joked with a salesman, I know why there’s an RV shortage, you guys have ALL the RVs on your lot! He explained that for the most part (all except AS and a few others) the industry has caught up with demand. In fact they have told several of their RV suppliers to stop shipping stock inventory. They have enough. I think the boom has slowed down. At least for many of the manufacturers. I think they were down to just a few AS trailers and an Atlas on the floor. I do not know why the AS demand is still not met. He did comment on price increases. He had a guy order and cancel a base camp 20. Then changed his mind and ordered again. The pricing went from $40K to $60 in two years. That’s crazy IMHO.
__________________
2020 25GT FBT
2012 Toyota Tundra Dbl Cab, 5.7 4x4
Previous AS trailers: (04) 19’ Bambi, and (11) FC 23FB
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05-29-2022, 12:21 PM
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#26
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Rivet Master
2022 28' Pottery Barn
¯\_(ツ)_/¯
, California
Join Date: Oct 2021
Posts: 652
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Was at the Bay Area AS dealer in Fairfield not too long ago. A few used consignment trailers, no new stock to purchase on the spot. Order after order with enormous wait times.
The pain will catch up with AS at some point, but it will likely be a minimal dip compared to almost all other TT manufacturers.
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05-29-2022, 12:23 PM
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#27
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Retired.
Currently Looking...
.
, At Large
Join Date: Jun 2003
Posts: 21,276
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Fungus
What causes diesel to be 25% to 50% higher in California than here in central Texas?
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"California".
__________________
Meddle not in the affairs of dragons, for you are crunchy, and taste good with ketchup.
Terry
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05-29-2022, 01:00 PM
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#28
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New Member
Brownstown
, Michigan
Join Date: Jan 2018
Posts: 3
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It is not just in Indiana it is everywhere. Every RV lot is filled to the bursting point! Ask yourself who is going to buy all this excessive industry? It is simply the RV manufacturing industry “making hay while there is sunshine”! 1980’is coming again and buying used will be the mantra!
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05-29-2022, 01:03 PM
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#29
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Rivet Master
2008 22' Safari
Spicewood (W of Austin)
, Texas
Join Date: Mar 2015
Posts: 2,987
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 1StreamDream
I truly don't have any experience in the RV hauling industry, but from what I understand about it, my first guess is either the haulers cannot make money at it due to the surge in fuel costs, or the dealers are unwilling to pay a fuel surcharge to cover this increase. It seems that those folks (RV haulers) operate on a razor thin margin to begin with, so given all the other quality of life sacrifices they make, I bet its just not worth it right now. Pure speculation on my part, no basis in facts, no inside info here.
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I didn’t realize that RV-Haulers made “quality of life sacrifices” that other truckers don’t experience. I guess I’ll have to add them to our church prayer-list.
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05-29-2022, 02:29 PM
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#30
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4 Rivet Member
2004 22' International CCD
Beaumont
, California
Join Date: Jan 2021
Posts: 474
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Travel trailers are being hoarded by manufacturers in a bid to inflate short-term profit margins in anticipation of global economic disruption due to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.
Just kidding.
If hundreds of campers are delayed “on the shelf” due to electronic part shortages, reinforces my personal proclivity fir electronic austerity. Condolences to those who desire self-parking trailers and self-driving vehicles.
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05-29-2022, 02:32 PM
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#31
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2 Rivet Member
1969 31' Sovereign
1966 24' Tradewind
Franklin
, North Carolina
Join Date: Feb 2011
Posts: 26
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 63air
We visited Middlebury, Indiana last week. This town is home to a multitude of RV manufacturing brands and suppliers. There are hundreds of finished units stored everywhere. We even saw them stored in church and bowling alley parking lots. Just wondering if it's a shipping issue or are things in the RV business coming to a halt do to over supply. What's also interesting at the same time is help wanted signs were everywhere. Just wondering if any one from the area knows what the explanation is.
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I spent a couple of days at a camping world for repairs while going cross country. The lot was totally full with new units of all types. Over 500 units there. I talked with sales persons while waiting for repairs and learned that sales were slow. They had no room for more units. I looked at many units to pass the time and noticed they all looked the same, gray and white and black interiors, even gray flooring. I think the camper bubble is primed to bust.
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05-30-2022, 07:57 AM
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#32
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Rivet Master
2007 30' Classic
Oswego
, Illinois
Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 13,669
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Quote:
Originally Posted by geodazed
I spent a couple of days at a camping world for repairs while going cross country. The lot was totally full with new units of all types. Over 500 units there. I talked with sales persons while waiting for repairs and learned that sales were slow. They had no room for more units. I looked at many units to pass the time and noticed they all looked the same, gray and white and black interiors, even gray flooring. I think the camper bubble is primed to bust.
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Yup, I sensed the same thing. Boats and RVs are the first to take a hit with economy changes. There's a pent up demand for autos, but as soon as the "have to buy" folks are done, I bet it gets soft too. That is, if we don't see the market improve and inflation abate sooner, rather than later.
__________________
-Rich-
"If the women don't find you handsome, they should at least find you handy." - Red Green
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05-30-2022, 09:25 AM
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#33
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Rivet Master
1976 25' Tradewind
.
, Maine to Arizona
Join Date: Sep 2004
Posts: 622
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Very Interesting Observation or Duh?
Nice to see that the very serious reality is apparent to a little more of the community.
Suggest digging a little deeper into the global then again the national look of the situation.
You want to get a real thrill?
Check out the number of cargo vessels waiting in China vs USA, ask why?
Reminds me of the time I watched a lady back her new 30' motor home over the edge of very steep drop off. Lemme see if I can find the pic and upload it.
__________________
"Talk is cheap, Airstreams are expensive," Wally Byam.
25' Tradewind
'18 Promaster 1500 High Roof
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05-30-2022, 09:46 AM
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#34
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2 Rivet Member
Currently Looking...
Boise
, Idaho
Join Date: Oct 2019
Posts: 78
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Genebuilder
I’m in the market right now to buy a newer 23’-25’ replacement Airstream. Even though I can write a check for what I want right now, I hear the economic drumbeats, and they don’t sound good. I am going to wait, and buy when it’s right for me to do so. The used market is now being loaded every day with people trying to get way more for their units than what is reasonable. Look at the airstream forum ad pages.
The savvy buyer, particularly one with sufficient discretionary funds, is going to wait and let market forces work in his (or her) favor. Those waiting for new order to arrive next year (locked in and financing) will be upside down before they drive their unit off the lot.
Hey! I love Airstreaming and hope everyone is having fun!
We’ve been thru these economic cycles before. Have we not learned anything?
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i have been watching the airforum classifieds for a few years. The number of used AS's has more than doubled since February. Between fuel prices, the covid bump decline and people going back to the office is bringing the RV industry back to earth. People who are pricing their used rv's are selling them. The ones who are upside down and asking last Summer's pricing will sit on them till for awhile as they send in a 800$ check each month.
The smaller trailers will be in demand at a reasonable price. The 25 ft. and longer stuff is 2 years plus saturated currently. Some great deals to be had right around the corner.
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05-30-2022, 09:52 AM
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#35
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Half a Rivet Short
2017 30' Classic
2022 Interstate 24X
Carlisle
, Pennsylvania
Join Date: May 2017
Posts: 15,744
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Hi
Fuel prices are very much a regional thing. Some areas are way less impacted than others. The gotcha is that folks look at their local pumps and make decisions based on that. This isn't stupidity, most RV trips are going to use a lot of "local" fuel. That run from Miami to Anchorage isn't likely to be a "couple times a year" sort of thing.
Bob
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05-30-2022, 10:01 AM
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#36
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2 Rivet Member
Currently Looking...
Boise
, Idaho
Join Date: Oct 2019
Posts: 78
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Quote:
Originally Posted by WellSaid11
Airstreams are not SOB trailers. Many (but not all) of these theories do not apply as they do to the SOB markets and their respective owners.
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Supply and demand apply to AS also. I know a guy who bought a 3 year old 25ft FC in 2010 for under 40K.
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05-30-2022, 10:12 AM
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#37
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Rivet Master
2022 28' Pottery Barn
¯\_(ツ)_/¯
, California
Join Date: Oct 2021
Posts: 652
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mtbmitch
Supply and demand apply to AS also. I know a guy who bought a 3 year old 25ft FC in 2010 for under 40K.
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Never said supply and demand would not apply to the AS market.
I have also seen people paying sticker for Jeeps with 10 on the lot. First class seats on almost every flight are totally full. Diesel at $5-6 plus a gallon and there is no glut.
Not sure what your anecdote or any of the others above add up to other than there will always be a certain market with a certain buyer paying that price.
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05-30-2022, 10:17 AM
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#38
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4 Rivet Member
2017 25' Flying Cloud
Celina
, Texas
Join Date: Oct 2020
Posts: 395
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Supply and demand usually does not apply to those who have more money than sense.
__________________
2017 Ford F150 Lariat 3.5L EcoBoost w/Max Tow
FAA Certificated Remote (Drone) Pilot
Amateur Radio Extra Class N5EAS
Journeying America via the "Blue Highways"
-Be Curious, Not Judgemental…Walt Whitman-
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05-30-2022, 10:18 AM
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#39
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Rivet Master
2022 28' Pottery Barn
¯\_(ツ)_/¯
, California
Join Date: Oct 2021
Posts: 652
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Genebuilder
Supply and demand usually does not apply to those who have more money than sense.
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That too, and most SOB buyers would say that about any AS owner - new or used.
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05-30-2022, 10:33 AM
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#40
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Moderator
2015 25' FB Flying Cloud
2012 23' FB Flying Cloud
2005 25' Safari
Santa Rosa Beach
, Florida
Join Date: Jul 2006
Posts: 13,159
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Greetings from the Florida Panhandle
We just spent a week on the road with Lucy until her a/c unit bit the dust and we were forced to return home. During our week on the road we noticed a couple of things that seem contradictory. Every RV dealer that we passed was slammed with stock. Every new car dealer that we passed had almost nothing to sell. Their lots were bare.
There is another thing that I find curious. For as long as I can remember, Diesel fuel was priced between regular unleaded and mid grade. This was true pretty much nationwide regardless of price trends. Now, all of a sudden, Diesel fuel is a dollar higher that premium unleaded gas. Go figure.
Brian
__________________
SuEllyn & Brian McCabe
WBCCI #3628 -- AIR #14872 -- TAC #FL-7
2015 FC 25' FB (Lucy) with ProPride
2020 Silverado 2500 (Vivian)
2023 Rivian R1T (Opal)
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