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01-14-2016, 12:25 PM
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#1
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Rivet Master
2002 30' Classic S/O
Fleming Island
, Florida
Join Date: Nov 2013
Posts: 4,673
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Source for Medium Range Weather Forecasts
Hi Everyone,
We are considering a trailer in the midwest and would be towing our trailer up as a trade-in and towing the new unit home in the near future. I'll have to plan the travel based mostly on weather and would like to avoid snow along the route.
What do you use for medium range (4-6 weeks out) weather forecasts to plan travel?
I recognize that there are better times to make this trip, but the trailer I want to look at won't be there then.
Thanks,
Al
__________________
“You cannot reason someone out of a position they have not been reasoned into"
Al, K5TAN and Missy, N4RGO WBCCI 1322
2002 Classic 30 Slideout -S/OS #004
2013 Dodge 2500 Laramie 4x4 Megacab Cummins
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01-14-2016, 12:29 PM
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#2
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Rivet Master
2007 Interstate
Normal
, Illinois
Join Date: Jan 2009
Posts: 18,080
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Hmmm....if I want anything further out then a week or so, I google that town and long range weather forecast.
I can't remember what provides it, but something comes up.
If you come up from the south, on major highways, you will have plenty of advance notice of a storm.
Don't know how far north you are coming, but January and February are usually brutal in Illinois, Iowa and points north of that.
Good luck, and see you soon.
Maggie
__________________
🏡 🚐 Cherish and appreciate those you love. This moment could be your last.🌹🐚
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01-14-2016, 12:36 PM
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#3
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Rivet Master
2007 30' Classic
Oswego
, Illinois
Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 13,669
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I have used Accuweather.com for quite a few years. They are as accurate as can be in their 45 day forecasts. Gets more accurate the nearer current day. Pretty good for choosing alternate routes, or hunkering down, or making long day runs to get away from impending weather.
Good phone app too.
__________________
-Rich-
"If the women don't find you handsome, they should at least find you handy." - Red Green
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01-14-2016, 02:12 PM
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#4
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Rivet Master
2014 20' Flying Cloud
Sag Harbor
, New York
Join Date: Jun 2015
Posts: 17,523
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Sounds interesting Al and Missy.
Ditto to Rich about AccuWeather being good for their predictions, and especially for updating the forecasts as the current weather data fine-tunes their models.
Not sure about your exact destination, but here are their general forecast maps for Kansas City for several time periods:
United States Temperature, Rain and Snow Maps - AccuWeather.com
Here is a monthly temp. forecast for January, by the day:
Kansas City January Weather 2016 - AccuWeather Forecast for KS 66101
Note especially the line graphs at the bottom showing the historical high/low temps, with the current temps overlaid.
At the top right you can go to February's forecasts, and in a couple of weeks they will also have March predictions available.
When you get closer to leaving, you can start looking at the radar maps, including local ones for your next way point, by starting with the national map. As you hover your mouse cursor over an area, you can zoom in to various regional and local radar maps (as the grey-bordered Zoom In boxes appear).
United States Doppler Weather Radar Map - AccuWeather.com
When you hit Play at the top right, you will see the radar for the last hour or two, up until about 15-20 minutes ago. Looking to the west usually affords some lead time of a day or two to catch precipitation moving your way. Blue is snow and green is rain, etc.. The regional and local maps work the same in the Play mode.
PS -- Not sure if you followed Tom's recent thread for his Montana to Florida trip, but here's hoping that the trip is going out well, as his arrival in Florida was scheduled for the 24th of this month:
http://www.airforums.com/forums/f42/...da-144951.html
If you would like to provide more information about your destination and ETA for leaving, I would be happy to check out the forecasts as your get closer to leaving. Have fun and good luck with checking out the new unit!
Peter
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01-14-2016, 02:18 PM
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#5
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Rivet Master
2015 25' FB Eddie Bauer
2013 25' FB Eddie Bauer
2012 20' Flying Cloud
Small Town
, *** Big Sky Country ***Western Montana
Join Date: Feb 2010
Posts: 2,860
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Accuweather or aviation weather forecast ...
__________________
2015 25' Eddie Bauer Int'l FBQ / 2023 Ford Lightning ER
2022 Ford F350 6.2 V-8; equalizer hitch + Shocker air hitch
Honda Eu3200; AIR# 44105; formerly WBCCI 2015.1
Terminal Aluminitis; 2-people w/ 3+ dogs
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01-14-2016, 02:23 PM
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#6
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Rivet Master
2006 23' Safari SE
Biloxi
, Mississippi
Join Date: Nov 2011
Posts: 8,278
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That far out all you can get are forecast based on past trends. Mother Nature has a way of proving long range forecasters wrong. Best you can do is go to the NOA web site, that is where all the other weather services get their information.
__________________
MICHAEL
Do you know what a learning experience is? A learning experience is one of those things that says "You know that thing that you just did? Don't do that."
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01-14-2016, 02:28 PM
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#7
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Rivet Master
2014 20' Flying Cloud
Sag Harbor
, New York
Join Date: Jun 2015
Posts: 17,523
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Quote:
Originally Posted by AWCHIEF
That far out all you can get are forecast based on past trends. Mother Nature has a way of proving long range forecasters wrong. Best you can do is go to the NOA web site, that is where all the other weather services get their information.
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The AccuWeather forecast maps actually update their long-range forecasts quite well from day-to-day, as the current weather allows them to fine-tune their predictive models. Thus the limitations of the old methods of long-range forecasts, to which you refer Michael, are more of an historical anachronism IMO.
The links I posted recently will bear this out if you keep checking them over the next few weeks, I think you will find.
Peter
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01-15-2016, 03:08 PM
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#8
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3 Rivet Member
2015 19' Flying Cloud
2017 25' Flying Cloud
Rosemount
, Minnesota
Join Date: Oct 2015
Posts: 242
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One thing I find useful to determine how confident the weekly forecasters are is to go to National Weather Service, enter in the location and then scroll down to near the bottom and select "Forecast Discussion". Here is where you will learn if all of the models point in one direction or if the forecast is more nebulous than usual. They give a "long range" forecast of about a week.
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01-15-2016, 04:22 PM
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#9
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Rivet Master
2008 19' Bambi
2012 23' Flying Cloud
2016 25' Flying Cloud
Bandera
, Texas
Join Date: Jun 2012
Posts: 786
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Triple (quadruple?) ditto on Accuweather.
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01-15-2016, 04:26 PM
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#10
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Rivet Master
2002 30' Classic S/O
Fleming Island
, Florida
Join Date: Nov 2013
Posts: 4,673
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Thanks everyone! I stumbled onto Accuweather and that is what I am using. Trying to go to Ohio, towing up and back. I'd like to avoid salt on the roads if possible.
Al
__________________
“You cannot reason someone out of a position they have not been reasoned into"
Al, K5TAN and Missy, N4RGO WBCCI 1322
2002 Classic 30 Slideout -S/OS #004
2013 Dodge 2500 Laramie 4x4 Megacab Cummins
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01-16-2016, 11:13 AM
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#11
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Rivet Master
2014 20' Flying Cloud
Sag Harbor
, New York
Join Date: Jun 2015
Posts: 17,523
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Al and Missy
Thanks everyone! I stumbled onto Accuweather and that is what I am using. Trying to go to Ohio, towing up and back. I'd like to avoid salt on the roads if possible.
Al
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When are you thinking of leaving? Avoiding salt this time of year is unlikely IMO. The best way to deal with it is a thorough hosing when back home, including the undercarriages of tow vehicle and trailer.
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01-18-2016, 02:45 PM
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#12
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2020 Classic 33
Box Elder
, South Dakota
Join Date: Oct 2013
Posts: 1,731
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Al, did you check out the Farmer's Almanac. Something like 100 years of accuracy and I've seen claims they are more accurate than some of the most scientific weather services.
__________________
Gary
2020 Classic 33 Twin, 2019 Ram 3500 Longhorn, ProPride
NØVPN
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01-19-2016, 06:48 AM
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#13
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3 Rivet Member
2016 23' Flying Cloud
Dallas
, Texas
Join Date: Jan 2016
Posts: 112
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Anything over 7 to 10 days is very unreliable. Many times have seen them so wrong so be very careful.
__________________
Kittyfeet-
I hope this day to have the opportunity to help someone in need.
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01-19-2016, 07:51 AM
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#14
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Rivet Master
1994 30' Excella
alexandria
, Kentucky
Join Date: Aug 2004
Posts: 2,321
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Plenty of salt on our roads right now - predicting snow this week.
We haven't had much bad weather near Cincinnati yet this year. The road departments have plenty of salt to burn up so at the slightest hint of a snow flake flying the salt trucks are out in force.
The best you could hope for until the end of february is a very cold dry spell or go through right after a rain storm when the salt has been washed off the roads.
If you have to get into the salt there are road salt neutralizing products sold - search the net - there are several.
__________________
Steve, Christy, Anna and Phoebe (Border Collie)
1994 Classic 30'11" Excella - rear twin
2009 Dodge 2500, 6 Speed Auto, CTD, Quad Cab, Short Bed
Hensley Arrow hitch with adjustable stinger
WBCCI # 3072
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01-19-2016, 07:59 AM
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#15
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Rivet Master
1973 Argosy 24
Kitchener
, Ontario
Join Date: Jun 2014
Posts: 945
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The weather guys are hard pressed to get it right 1 week in advance. Four weeks is a crap shoot at best.
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01-28-2016, 09:31 AM
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#16
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Rivet Master
2014 20' Flying Cloud
Sag Harbor
, New York
Join Date: Jun 2015
Posts: 17,523
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Al and Missy
[snip]
Trying to go to Ohio, towing up and back. I'd like to avoid salt on the roads if possible.
Al
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Curious whether you have already left and how the trip is going.
Thanks,
Peter
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