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Old 03-22-2021, 09:00 AM   #1
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Hurricane Season 2021

It seems like a good time to start watching for hurricane conditions ripening IMO. From December:

https://weather.com/storms/hurricane...-csu-klotzbach

Mike's Weather Page is a good general resource for data: https://spaghettimodels.com/

In theory the Atlantic Hurricane Season starts in June: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Atlantic_hurricane_season

Ocean temperatures are a good early warning sign usually -- maps and links are on the left edge of Mike's page:
https://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bi...t_nw3hem#image
https://www.ospo.noaa.gov/data/sst/c...satlant.fc.gif


Last year's 2020 thread is an interesting read IMO: https://www.airforums.com/forums/f16...-a-208479.html
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Old 05-23-2021, 12:10 PM   #2
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Tropical Storm Ana

Ana is well offshore and forecast to head NE.



. . . and is the only storm on the following 5-day outlook page:



Links, and more maps etc., are available on Mike's Weather Page linked in the first post.
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Old 05-23-2021, 12:52 PM   #3
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It seems like we just ended last hurricane season. Not again!
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Old 06-02-2021, 05:30 PM   #4
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May be an above-normal season according to NOAA, but not as bad as 2020:

https://www.noaa.gov/media-release/n...rricane-season
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Old 06-13-2021, 03:01 PM   #5
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NOAA is starting to track a storm developing off the East Coast: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=5

This map should update in real time over the next few days:




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Old 06-13-2021, 04:09 PM   #6
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Hi

So we have hurricanes and I'm *not* in any of their paths, sitting in the AS.... that's really weird

Bob
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Old 06-14-2021, 01:40 PM   #7
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Not so fast, Bob, . . . that system is now an official storm, and is intensifying it appears.

"For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly formed Tropical Depression Two, located about a hundred miles east of the Outer Banks of North Carolina."

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATWDAT.shtml
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at...start#contents


A fairly benign projected path, but "never say never" when it comes to Mother Nature IMO.

Bermuda is well to the south, but will the warm Gulf Stream steer the storm toward us in New England?

Peter
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Old 06-14-2021, 01:52 PM   #8
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This combined model shows that kind of bend, but not to mainland North America . . . yet! . . .



https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/stor...efs_latest.png
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/#02L
[From Mike's Weather Page linked earlier: https://spaghettimodels.com/default.htm ]

--30--
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Old 06-14-2021, 04:05 PM   #9
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I'm taking a leap of faith this year. Heading down to Ft. Myers in mid August. I've always avoided going south in the fall due to my fear of going down there and then having to bug out due to incoming storms. The only good thing is that the hurricanes are at least more predictable than our midwest tornados!

Jack
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Old 06-14-2021, 04:29 PM   #10
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jcanavera View Post
I'm taking a leap of faith this year. Heading down to Ft. Myers in mid August. I've always avoided going south in the fall due to my fear of going down there and then having to bug out due to incoming storms. The only good thing is that the hurricanes are at least more predictable than our midwest tornados!

Jack
Amen brother! Stop at Travelers Rest in either.direction
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Old 06-14-2021, 04:31 PM   #11
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Paula

Travelers Rest, where is that? I have idea but not sure.

Gary
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Old 06-14-2021, 04:45 PM   #12
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A little NE of Tampa.
https://www.google.com/search?q=Trav...=airforums.com
https://www.airforums.com/forums/f42...da-191378.html
https://www.travelersrestresort.com/
https://www.google.com/maps/place/29...2!4d-82.329412
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Old 06-14-2021, 04:49 PM   #13
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Question

Quote:
Originally Posted by jcanavera View Post
. . .
. . . Heading down to Ft. Myers in mid August.
. . .
Southern Florida in the hottest, and most humid, part of summer?

Talk about testing the electrical grid infrastructure . . . . . . your surge protector may be needed again IMO.

https://www.airforums.com/forums/f37...ob-224063.html

Used to visit relatives near Orlando . . . summer? . . . no thanks!

Have fun "camping" inside your aluminum tent.

Peter
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Old 06-14-2021, 05:39 PM   #14
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Quote:
Originally Posted by OTRA15 View Post
Southern Florida in the hottest, and most humid, part of summer?

Talk about testing the electrical grid infrastructure . . . . . . your surge protector may be needed again IMO.

https://www.airforums.com/forums/f37...ob-224063.html

Used to visit relatives near Orlando . . . summer? . . . no thanks!

Have fun "camping" inside your aluminum tent.

Peter
Peter, not taking the Airstream. I can't fight the attractiveness of finding a non stop flight there for just over $100 each way and the pleasure of a 2,200 sq ft Airbnb Key West style home with it's own salt water pool! Got a deal for a car at a discount. Total cost is less that driving 1,151 miles each way and finding a campground to stay at. Splitting the cost with a friend.

As much as I love my Airstream there are times where you can't beat the friendly skies.

Jack
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Old 06-14-2021, 08:06 PM   #15
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Thumbs up

Sounds great!

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Old 06-14-2021, 08:08 PM   #16
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Might be time to start watching this storm in the Gulf of Mexico?



https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=5



https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/#92L
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Old 06-15-2021, 12:28 AM   #17
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The storm off the Carolina coast is now named Bill.

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Old 06-18-2021, 12:55 AM   #18
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Gulf Coast Storm Surge Warning

Anyone near the Gulf Coast?


https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graph...peak_surge.png
From Mike's Weather Page: https://spaghettimodels.com/

12" of rain possible:



National Hurricane Center discussion:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refres.../172338.shtml?


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Old 06-18-2021, 02:44 PM   #19
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Anyone at the coast camping under this?
https://s.w-x.co/staticmaps/wu/wu/sa...se/animate.png


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Old 06-18-2021, 04:41 PM   #20
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Is it that time already?
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