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Old 05-16-2020, 09:42 AM   #1
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Hurricane Season 2020

Just when you thought it might be safe to go camping again . . . the hurricane season is upon us.



Travel safe!

Peter

Atlantic 5-day outlook: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=5
Florida satellite [hit Play button]: https://www.accuweather.com/en/us/florida/satellite
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Old 05-16-2020, 02:51 PM   #2
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Tropical Storm watch for North Carolina:

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refres...l/162038.shtml
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/gra...nd120#contents
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Old 05-16-2020, 05:40 PM   #3
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To be offshore of Cape Hatteras by 2 PM on Monday.
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Old 05-16-2020, 05:50 PM   #4
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If you choose to live where there are Hurricanes I suppose that is why you have a trailer.


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Old 05-16-2020, 06:02 PM   #5
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Or earthquakes, or tornados, or forest fires, or food and goods shortages, or armed insurrections, or zombie apocalypses.

Matters not. “Be Prepared” is not just for Boy Scouts...
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Old 05-16-2020, 06:08 PM   #6
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. . . or near volcanoes like Mt. St. Helens, Dave?

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Old 05-16-2020, 10:54 PM   #7
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Some events you just can’t outrun. Many in that area are waiting for Rainer to blow its top. When my son lived there the family Airstream was loaded and ready to go.
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Old 05-17-2020, 02:15 AM   #8
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Hmmmm -- "ready to go" -- is "up" a possible direction, depending on proximity to "Tahoma" ?

Imagine sitting in the trailer, and going up . . . for an au naturel space capsule launch . . .



This might eclipse the notoriety of NASA's Airstream crew transport vehicle, for "Airstreams in the News" . . . ?

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Old 05-17-2020, 02:18 AM   #9
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Arthur is now a named storm, and appears to have increased its forward velocity. The touch at Cape Hatteras is scheduled for 8 AM Monday, about 6 hours earlier than the previous forecast.

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Old 05-17-2020, 05:41 AM   #10
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The GEFS model shows Arthur going out to sea, but surfers all along the East Coast, including here on Long Island and Cape Cod, are going to see some action for sure. Not sure how the beaches will deal with all the surfers and swimmers over Memorial Day Weekend, now that some are just opening after the virus shutdown of most recreational activities. Could be challenging IMO.

Looks like the storm could go right over Bermuda.

Map from Mike's Weather page: https://www.spaghettimodels.com/

[map should update in real time all next week]
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Old 05-17-2020, 07:47 AM   #11
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Correction -- Actually going well north of Bermuda, according to their Weather Service:

http://www.weather.bm/maps/TropicalS...1&202051714453

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Old 05-17-2020, 06:35 PM   #12
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Arthur's projected path has hooked more to the east and then back south toward Bermuda, as can be seen in the earlier charts [which update in real time].
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Old 05-17-2020, 08:05 PM   #13
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Greetings from the Florida Panhandle

Hurricanes are the kindest of the natural disasters. You have at least a couple of days warning. There is always time to get your Airstream hooked up and hit the road.

Brian
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Old 05-18-2020, 04:46 AM   #14
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An excellent point, Brian, thanks.

Seen plenty of hurricanes up close and personal, and hope never to see a tornado!

Peter
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Old 05-18-2020, 05:14 AM   #15
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The projected path has shifted again, per the real-time charts, with Arthur going right over Bermuda on Thursday, but with diminished winds.

Peter
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Old 05-18-2020, 03:04 PM   #16
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Pretty tame action at Buoy #41001 150 NM east of Cape Hatteras:

https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_pa...?station=41001

See real time storm location in earlier charts.

These graphs should update in real time as Arthur moves away to the NE. Last wave height of 11.5' and gust of 35 knots [or nearing 40 MPH].

Peter





Ocean real time view at about 3 PM EDT today:

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Old 05-19-2020, 02:30 AM   #17
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Amazing . . . wave heights got up to almost 16' --
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Old 05-25-2020, 04:47 PM   #18
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Looks like there may be some action in the South this week. Charts should update in real time over the next few days.





Charts from Mike's Weather Page:

https://www.spaghettimodels.com/

Travel safe,

Peter
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Old 05-26-2020, 01:37 AM   #19
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Looks like that system is moving offshore to the NE?




The text report at the bottom of this page should update at 9 AM this morning:

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=5
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Old 05-26-2020, 02:33 PM   #20
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A tentative track has been posted on Mike's Weather Page [linked earlier]:

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