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Old 10-10-2018, 12:00 PM   #21
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In case you missed the action today, this tide chart from Post #16 says it all -- about 7' above normal.

Prayers for everyone . . .



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Originally Posted by OTRA15 View Post
. . . This tide station at Shell Point, south of St. Marks [in the map above] and Tallahassee, should show the coastal tidal action today. Right now the water level is about 3.3' .

https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_pa...?station=shpf1


. . .
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Old 10-10-2018, 03:45 PM   #22
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That Shell Point water level is now about 10' above normal, and local high tide is not until later tonight.

Wave heights at the buoy SSE of Pensacola in Post #15 appear to have topped out at 31' .

Yes -- thirty-one foot seas . . .

Yikes!
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Old 10-10-2018, 04:45 PM   #23
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My brother and I both bugged out from the area just inland from Panama City Beach. I was at our place in Ebro, he was volunteering at Falling Waters park a bit farther north.
We now have both our airstreams parked at lake Martin in central Ala. so far it's gotten quite rainy but little wind so far. The storm will be passing well to the east of out location.

We both got out before the big evacuation crowds got going. So had nice drives into the pretty hilly country up this way. We are staying at a very nice state park called Wind Creek S P. And hope it doesn't live up to its name overnight.

It sounds like the conditions along the coast were pretty rough, both big surf and storm surge inundating large areas. And the high wind speeds continued well inshore, crossing the state line into Ala and Ga still at Cat 3.
So the damage may well be extensive and wide spread.

We are thinking of extending our stays here till Fri or sat. Little to be gained in rushing back to a disaster area. Except to see how bad it is at our place.

I'm bumming that my old Porsch is not running right now and had to be left behind. But that's a small thing in the larger scheme of things.

Cheers Richard
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Old 10-10-2018, 06:55 PM   #24
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The following buoy in Post #15 stopped reporting during the day FYI, just after the wave heights reached the 31' figure quoted earlier.

Quote:
Originally Posted by OTRA15 View Post
Buoy 42039 115 NM SSE of Pensacola is starting to show some action:

https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_pa...?station=42039
. . .
__________________________________________________ _________________________________________________

Thanks for the report Richard, hope your place and the Porsche are OK! It would be interesting to know if Ebro has lost power, and how long it takes to restore it. Also whether Michael's storm surge came up the Chocktawatchee River toward you. I don't see that on the following graph, but FYI the river is expected to have some flooding over the next few days.

Peter

https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/hydr...=bruf1&wfo=tae

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Old 10-11-2018, 08:13 AM   #25
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In the Florence thread, that Waccamaw River station at Conway SC may be starting to get run-off from Michael IMO. Subtle right now, but it would not be surprising to see the forecast level flatten out, or start rising. Right now the water level is 12.2' and the projected level is about 10.2' on next Tuesday 10/16/18. Because this graph updates in real time, these measurements are important to log here, for future reference IMO




The Florence thread is at the following link, with this graph first appearing in Post #80:

http://www.airforums.com/forums/f161...ce-186671.html

Prayers for the folks who have been homeless for weeks now.

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Old 10-11-2018, 08:36 AM   #26
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I am glad you got out!

I am glad you decided to head for AL. These hurricanes are no joke and you can always come back to assess the damage later. All of those things can be replaced, you and your family can't be replaced. I am praying for you guys that you come home to as little damage as possible!

Good luck to anyone else who had stuck the storm out.
-Dane
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Old 10-11-2018, 08:55 AM   #27
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Back in my sailing days, we took a month and sailed to Carabelle, then Apalachicola, and eventually motored up the river to Panama City. On either side of the river the chart said "impenetrable swamp" and they weren't kidding. Mangroves and cypress as far as one could see. The town of St. Joe was little more than a stopping spot on the river.
I feel bad for Apalachicola because I loved the friendly, laid back attitude. Streets paved with oyster shells. Breakfast at the Rainbow hotel, marina, and restaurant, where the specialty was eggs and oysters.
Carrabelle was famous for the world's smallest police station. It's a phone booth. The cop car just sits near the phone so he can hear it ring. Ask the locals for the best food in town and they'd send you to "the boo-fay at Johnny's".
Good luck. They're real America, they'll help each other.
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Old 10-11-2018, 09:24 AM   #28
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We live three houses off of the ocean in Santa Rosa Beach, Florida. We decided to stay in place for the storm. We are located about 50 miles west of where Michael made landfall on Tyndall Airforce Base in Bay County. We were on the good side of the storm. During the height of the storm, our winds were from the north. Lucy was sitting out in the alley behind our house. She came through the storm unscathed. We did not sustain any significant damage. We were very fortunate.

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Old 10-11-2018, 10:05 AM   #29
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Whoo, moisetags, glad you're ok. I think a long beach rehab is in order around appalachicola. Lots of wind damage/ big trees down in Tallahassee, but life and limbs intact. No power but things could have been much worse here. Thank you for your support everyone.
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Old 10-12-2018, 06:52 AM   #30
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Hi

It's trivia, but ... why not ... Richmond VA closed schools yesterday due to the impact (rain / flooding) of this storm.

Even as far inland as western VA the rain was pretty major ( = driving was no fun / water across the interstate ). Just when you think you outran it ....

Bob
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Old 10-12-2018, 03:21 PM   #31
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Quote:
Originally Posted by uncle_bob View Post
Hi

It's trivia, but ... why not ... Richmond VA closed schools yesterday due to the impact (rain / flooding) of this storm.

Even as far inland as western VA the rain was pretty major ( = driving was no fun / water across the interstate ). Just when you think you outran it ....

Bob
You can run but you just can't hide sometimes, uncle_bob. Glad that ride is over for you...
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Old 10-12-2018, 06:04 PM   #32
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FYI here is NOAA's aerial imagery after Michael:

https://oceanservice.noaa.gov/news/o...m-imagery.html

Similar to the news reports, the before and after photos are amazing. At the top right is a drop-down menu to let you choose the Before image.
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Old 10-15-2018, 04:29 PM   #33
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Brian, or Brain as you signed your last post, glad to hear you made it through ok.
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Old 10-18-2018, 06:16 AM   #34
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Finally made it down to our place at St Joe Beach, 1 mile east of Mexico Beach day before yesterday. The carnage is mind numbing. The few OB’s that were left in the new RV park near the intersection of 386 and 98 were all destroyed.
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Old 10-19-2018, 08:50 AM   #35
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Hi

Every time we got through this there is the same question that pops up - why abandon your RV to be pretty much certainly destroyed? I'm sure there are a lot of answers to the question.

Bob
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Old 04-19-2019, 12:01 PM   #36
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Hurricane Michael now a Category 5

Given the severe damage, and very-long-term recovery times for many folks on the Gulf Coast, it is not surprising that Hurricane Michael has been upgraded to a category 5 storm, based on the the "rear view mirror" analysis:

https://www.accuweather.com/en/weath...eview/70008042
https://www.noaa.gov/media-release/h...of-us-landfall

. . . with sustained winds estimated at 160 MPH!

Prayers for those still recovering.

Peter

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