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Old 03-12-2016, 08:51 PM   #57
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MacPDX View Post
Also, for those who believe the price will drop, you are not alone:

"New research suggests that the price of lithium-ion batteries could fall dramatically by 2020, creating conditions for the widespread adoption of electrified vehicles in some markets."

http://www.mckinsey.com/business-fun...-charges-ahead

This link shows a downward price trend over 2015:

http://www.energytrend.com/battery-price.html
As one of those who have written that I am waiting for the price of lithium-ion batteries come down, the McKinsey report just about says it all.

I'm not expecting the cost (including implementation) to drop to that of AGM but certainly the price will fall by more than the cost of buying a couple of wet cells now, to be replaced in a couple of years. Hopefully in that time they will also come out with a formulation that can be charged under 40C as well so I don't have to relocate them inside the motorhome.

I think what you guys have done is great, and if it wasn't for the early adopters, demand would not be generated to bring about the economies for scale.

All new technology goes through the Ganter Hype Cycle and too often I have jumped too early, not this time.

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Old 03-12-2016, 09:46 PM   #58
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That McKinsey report was written in 2012. Guess how many years ago that was.

Also, the entire report was about automotive batteries. I even linked to where you can read Tesla's on goals with their factory. But hey, you keep wishing. I only said the next 3-5 yrs. I bet they might be cheaper in 5-10 maybe.

\_(ツ)_/

I dunno. I'm taking a bearish position on this. You can be bullish.
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