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Old 07-31-2017, 10:47 AM   #1
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Weather watchers

For those of you who like to keep up with tropical weather in the south east, I just awoke to learn there's a tropical storm just south of me. So far, a little rain and maybe 15 mph winds here.

But it reminded me of my "go to" tropical weather site

http://spaghettimodels.com

Mike's Weather page.
It's a page full of thumbnails, and clicking on each brings that section up. There's so much information, if it's not there, you don't need it.
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Old 08-01-2017, 03:36 PM   #2
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Awesome site, MD. Looks like there's room to squeeze in a couple of more charts, but he hasn't thought of a metric to use yet.

Thanks - Pat
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Old 08-01-2017, 04:01 PM   #3
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I go here (http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/) for the official word from the National Hurricane Center.

Living on the Gulf Coast, I find local coverage of storms headed our way to be skewed in the "Oh my God, we're all going to die!" direction. No matter how strong or weak the storm is. Partly because news media doesn't exist to inform the public, it exists to sell advertising, and nothing makes advertising dollars go farther than an imminent disaster, so stay tuned to this station for the latest.

I don't know about other hurricane-prone areas, but when we look at spaghetti models for storms headed our way, there is usually one model hidden amongst the others that shows the storm will take an absolutely straight course for New Orleans. The purpose of this "model" is to skew the average results toward New Orleans. But if you look at national rather than local news, that straight-line projection isn't ever there.
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Old 08-01-2017, 08:10 PM   #4
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Great resource -- thanks!

Peter
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Old 08-01-2017, 09:18 PM   #5
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That's a great page, Thanks. We've been getting our share of flooding here in the Western deserts. You probably saw on the news the whole family that was lost in a flash flood.
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Old 08-01-2017, 10:12 PM   #6
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Nothing gets my attention quite as fast as a storm that goes round and round. Pat
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Old 08-01-2017, 10:24 PM   #7
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Protagonist View Post
I go here (http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/) for the official word from the National Hurricane Center.

Living on the Gulf Coast, I find local coverage of storms headed our way to be skewed in the "Oh my God, we're all going to die!" direction. No matter how strong or weak the storm is. Partly because news mediation doesn't exist to inform the public, it exists to sell advertising, and nothing makes advertising dollars go farther than an imminent disaster, so stay tuned to this station for the latest.

I don't know about other hurricane-prone areas, but when we look at spaghetti models for storms headed our way, there is usually one model hidden amongst the others that shows the storm will take an absolutely straight course for New Orleans. The purpose of this "model" is to skew the average results toward New Orleans. But if you look at national rather than local news, that straight-line projection isn't ever there.
One year the Orlando stations just got silly with trying to hype up the storms. One newscaster said "Some people are leaving in droves". Another was standing on the beach at Port Canaveral where there were people enjoying the day with 1-2" waves lapping at the sand. He talked about how the storm was "crashing ashore."

NHC is the best source, even if one day they say storm formation is not expected for the next 48 hours and we wake up the.next morning to TS Emily.

Al
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Old 08-01-2017, 10:37 PM   #8
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Quote:
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One newscaster said "Some people are leaving in droves".
How many people does it take to make a "drove" I wonder?
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Old 08-02-2017, 05:12 AM   #9
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Not sure, but FYI TS Emily just "drove" off and is no longer a threat to the east coast.



http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
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