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Old 10-04-2016, 04:35 PM   #1
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Hurricane Matthew

The latest track is farther west. We have the Avion loaded and ready to go here on Gainesville. Everyone farther south and east get ready and good luck. Be aware and pay attention!!
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Old 10-04-2016, 04:41 PM   #2
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I am mostly packed and ready to go just in case the storm decides to head west. I have learned storm avoidance lessons the hard way. Been burned before trusting the forecasters and projected storm tracts. I do not plan on that happening again. Please everyone play it safe and be prepared to pull out quickly if you have to. Stay safe!
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Old 10-04-2016, 05:29 PM   #3
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Yes, I noticed the track shift to the West today also.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/grap....shtml?5-daynl

Here are a few online tools which permit tracking the action, as opposed to watching TV for updates.

This Jet Stream model looks out over the next 5 days:

http://squall.sfsu.edu/scripts/namje...odel_fcst.html

Click on the red Stop button in the middle, and then hit Next to see that the Jet Stream is quite far north through Sunday, with a high pressure center under it. Sometimes the high can be further south, and then becomes a "blocking high" which might direct Matthew eastward. Not so, as of today's projection for the SE. By Sunday, however, the Jet Stream may push Matthew out to sea before it hits the NE full-on IMO.

This NOAA forecast map is similar and shows the high pressure system moving east, but still quite north by Friday:

http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php

Finally this Florida moving radar will show just what Matthew does as it gets closer to southern Florida:

http://www.accuweather.com/en/us/flo...r-radar?play=1

You can Zoom Out to Region for a wider view.

Having these tools available on demand 24/7 helps during a storm, as you don't need to wait for updates on the television or radio.

Good luck!

Peter
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Old 10-04-2016, 05:35 PM   #4
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They're evacuating coastal South Carolina.


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Old 10-04-2016, 06:10 PM   #5
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I'm at LYH in Melbourne, FL. Will be heading out in the morning for Lake Manatee SP over on the west coast. Spent this afternoon getting ready. Would rather be safe than sorry.
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Old 10-04-2016, 06:40 PM   #6
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We were going to take the trailer and head to Stephen Foster SP tomorrow or Thursday and then on to Cotton Hill COE campground on the GA-AL line but decided it was just not worth the hassle. We are heading to NC, sans trailer, for a few days and then will come back when all clear.

Everyone be safe/drive safe.

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Old 10-04-2016, 06:49 PM   #7
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NC may get blasted, stay informed.
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Old 10-04-2016, 06:54 PM   #8
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If it were me, I would get as far away as possible.

I don't remember the name of the one that hit that coastal area some years back, but it was the same year as the earthquake out there....we experienced both of them.

With the hurricane bearing down, we moved west to a campground near the Smokies, and we still had high winds and torrential rain.

I remember the power was out to much of the state of Virginia.

Get out, while you can.


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Old 10-04-2016, 06:55 PM   #9
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If I'm remembering the Atlanta radio news report from a couple hours ago correctly, the decision is to be made tomorrow whether to evacuate the Georgia coast.

Cloudland Canyon State Park is nice this time of year. So is the Hiawassee area. FDR State park, too. And Hard Labor Creek and.......just sayin'

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Old 10-04-2016, 06:57 PM   #10
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Might not be far enough inland to avoid the rain.
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Old 10-04-2016, 06:59 PM   #11
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It was 2011, and Irene.


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Old 10-04-2016, 07:02 PM   #12
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SC Gov. Nicky Haley announced this afternoon that I-26 into Charleston will be reversed at 3PM Wednesday making all lanes outbound from CHS. Some of our CHS office crew was having a pre-storm arrival festival tonight.
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Old 10-04-2016, 07:12 PM   #13
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Top Of Georgia (Airstream Park) in the Helen area (full hookups). Unicoi State park just down the road. They have about a dozen full hookup sites at Unicoi, and many other water/power sites. There's a new State park in the Cleveland area with full hookups. I'll go look it up.

Jim

Edit: i was thinking Don Carter had added full hookups, but the State Parks website is fighting with me. Call 'em and check it out.
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Old 10-04-2016, 07:12 PM   #14
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The first link in Post #3 is the projected path of the center of the storm. Right now the white line for the western edge of the possible path's cone goes through the "V" in Virginia. Over the next few days, this map will be updated, and it will be instructive to compare the western white line's location to now at 8 PM EDT on Tuesday.

Needless to say if the center of Matthew does in fact go over the "V" it will be rainy all the way west to Asheville NC and other locations on the crest of the Appalachians.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/grap....shtml?5-daynl

PS I recall a hurricane ~ 20-30 years ago that went inland and flattened wide swaths of standing timber in the SE. Never say never.

Stay safe . . .
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