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Old 10-06-2016, 12:47 PM   #57
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Clarification -- Jane said earlier that she lives about 25 miles inland in the Charleston area, which was the basis for my previous "would stay" comment. Folks close to the shore should obviously follow all government evacuation orders.

Stay safe.

Peter
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Old 10-06-2016, 03:38 PM   #58
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After closing up the house, we evacuated Amelia Island FL yesterday and have landed at Seminole Lake SP in southwest GA. Beautiful campground and weather here. Joe

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Old 10-06-2016, 04:57 PM   #59
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Showtime, good luck all.

http://www.accuweather.com/en/us/sou...r-radar?play=1

Looks like the eye is SE of Palm Beach, right over Freeport:

http://www.accuweather.com/en/us/sou...r-radar?play=1

As I watched the Weather Channel, it looks like the eye might be tracking a little east of the forecasted path IMO.
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Old 10-06-2016, 05:08 PM   #60
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Originally Posted by Al and Missy View Post
We were going to take the trailer and head to Stephen Foster SP tomorrow or Thursday and then on to Cotton Hill COE campground on the GA-AL line but decided it was just not worth the hassle. We are heading to NC, sans trailer, for a few days and then will come back when all clear.

Everyone be safe/drive safe.

Al
We made it about 1:30 AM this morning. Traffic wasn't bad, pretty good actually, except for two accident scenes. The only hiccup was that the entrance to I-26W from I-95N was closed and they only thought to announce it just before the previous exit. Made a quick lane change and took the exit and some back roads into Orangeburg where we got on 26W.

The trailer is in its comfy inside storage about 10 miles from the ocean. The building is rated for 120mph so fingers crossed. The house is only 3/4 miles from the ocean. "Sources" are predicting a couple of hours of 115mph winds between midnight and 2AM, but interpolating the NHC track puts the center about 22 miles from the house and they have been repeating that the strongest winds only go out about 10-12 miles from the center. Fingers crossed. I have a weather station, but didn't think to change the backup battery. I MAY have evidence of peak wind at the house when I get back if the house is still there and the battery lasted.

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Old 10-06-2016, 05:15 PM   #61
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This weather station SPGF1 just west of Freeport Bahamas is reporting wind gusts of only 76 knots so far, with the eye very close by IMO. [see radar links in Post #59]

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/show_plot.p...time_label=EDT

Note air pressure plummeting in green to below 29.0".

Station SPGF1 home page is here:

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=spgf1

Glad you made it north safely, Al and Missy.

Peter

PS when the eye goes north of this station, it will be very obvious as the air pressure will start rising quickly. This graph is changing every minute or two right now.

This Pressure Tendency chart will make the eye's passage very clear:

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/show_plot.p...time_label=EDT

Use your browser to reload/refresh the page and watch the graphs change minute-by-minute.
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Old 10-06-2016, 06:05 PM   #62
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Station 41009, which is 20 NM east of Cape Canaveral, is the next major data buoy going north.

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=41009

So far winds are 25-29 knots as of 6:20 PM EDT, and the combined plots comparable to the Freeport data are here:

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/show_plot.p...time_label=EDT

These National Data Buoys generally update their measurements every hour, so the next readings should be around 7:20 PM, although it takes some time for them to get from the buoy to the site linked here.
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Old 10-06-2016, 06:22 PM   #63
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Station SPGF1 west of Freeport just reported its 7 PM data, and the winds are ONLY 68-77 knots which is just barely a Category 1 hurricane. Higher winds may be reported at 8 PM but on the radar it looks like the eye is about to pass north of Freeport, so in theory the worst should be over for this location.

The Pressure Tendency is still falling rapidly however.

[See recent posts for all links which should give the latest data when clicked on again.]
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Old 10-06-2016, 06:39 PM   #64
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Showtime, good luck all. ... As I watched the Weather Channel, it looks like the eye might be tracking a little east of the forecasted path IMO.
OTRA15, it must be nice to be able to watch The Weather Channel. We have Verizon FiOS and let me assure you, we're not happy that they dropped The Weather Channel from their line-up. They replaced it with AccuWeather. There's no comparison; AccuWeather is awful. As expensive as Verizon is, they don't seem too concerned about the large number of viewers that chimed in to express their disappointment about their decision to drop our beloved Weather Channel. They also dropped the FlyFishing Network and the Outdoor Channel.

Anyway, I just found out that dear friends' elderly parents opted to stay home ... in Melbourne ... precisely 1.5 miles from the beach. We're praying for them and all others who chose not to leave for whatever their reasons. Can't be good.
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Old 10-06-2016, 06:50 PM   #65
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Thanks Rich. It is premature to draw conclusions, and one does not want to jinx things, but the recent data from Station SPGF1 west of Freeport does seem to suggest that Matthew's bite may be kinder than his bark was said to be. Your friend's parents will probably be fine as long as they are not right on an inland body of water, and are at a good elevation above sea level.

Follow the data from Buoy 41009 off Cape Canaveral, which is not too far from Melbourne also. [links in Post #62]
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Old 10-06-2016, 07:24 PM   #66
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PS -- Also the eye seems to going a bit more northward from Freeport Bahamas, to these eyes at least, rather than heading NNW over to the coast, which would be good news. IMO it may just follow the Gulf Stream's warmer water.

http://www.accuweather.com/en/us/sou...r-radar?play=1
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Old 10-06-2016, 07:27 PM   #67
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Matthew's bite may be kinder than his bark was said to be.
Hope for that for sure. I remember Charlie. We were told it was heading for Tampa then suddenly it veered right at us- 20 miles from our home. Oak trees snapped out of the ground, roof damage, etc. I stayed home.

You get a bad feeling when you stay at home and suddenly a fierce storm is bearing down on you and it is too late to leave.
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Old 10-06-2016, 07:31 PM   #68
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Copy that rodsterinfl, no fun at all in that situation. Hope there were no serious injuries.
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Old 10-06-2016, 07:37 PM   #69
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Hey again, y'all.

I-16 between Savannah and Macon is now all westbound between Savannah and Dublin. Traffic around Macon is bad as is northbound traffic into the Atlanta Metro area on I-75.

Some good news in all of this........The Atlanta Motor Speedway (NASCAR race track) is allowing FREE camping at their facility. But, the camping is kinda limited. I don't think they have any hookups. I'm going to find a website for them and post back here. I may need to update many of the facts about AMS, but as I recall, take exit 216 off of I-75, then proceed west on Ga Hwy 20 directly to AMS (maybe 10 miles?).

Back in a few.......

Jim
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Old 10-06-2016, 07:42 PM   #70
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The Palm Beach airport just reported winds of only 28 mph and gusts of 48 mph as of 7:53 PM EDT, which I believe is below even the Tropical Storm range.

http://w1.weather.gov/obhistory/KPBI.html

Also, Station 41009 off Cape Canaveral's 7:20 PM report shows winds of only 25-31 knots, similar to the range in Post #62 from 6:20 PM. Edit -- And their 8:20 report shows winds slightly higher, but nowhere near Tropical Storm strength.
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