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Old 08-27-2009, 08:28 PM   #15
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1968 24' Tradewind
Louisville , earth
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Originally Posted by Crusty View Post
The odds of winning for one card is 1 in 593,775.

This is easier to calculate than you might guess.

The odds of scratching a first key is 6 in 30, the odds of scratching a second key is 5 in 29, ... , the odds of scratching a 6th key is 1 in 25. So, the overall odds are (6 x 5 x 4 x 3 x 2 x 1) in (30 x 29 x 28 x 27 x 26 x 25) = or 720 in 427,518,000 = 1 in 593,775

I stand corrected, Crusty is correct. I had misread an earlier post to suggest that there was a single winning ticket. I am duly embarrassed.


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Old 08-31-2009, 05:48 AM   #16
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1977 31' Sovereign
1963 26' Overlander
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Since they printed up ( I heard) 2,000 cards, the odds of anyone winning is about 600000/ 2000 or roughly 300 to one that no one would win. Therefore the $100,000 divided by 300 is $33. During the rally, they keep finding more reasons to give away more tickets to better the odds that someone of the 900 attendee couples would win, but it did not happen.

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Old 08-31-2009, 07:11 AM   #17
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1993 21' Sovereign
Colfax , North Carolina
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If you got two tickets, the odds of your winning would be roughly 2 in 600,000, not one in 300,000. It's a subtle difference, kind of like buying two lottery tickets.
That's why I only buy a lottery ticket if the pot is over $50 million, and then only a single ticket.

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