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Old 09-03-2018, 07:08 AM   #1
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Tropical Storm Gordon

The hurricane season is picking up steam, now that the dry Saharan air mass is no longer blocking the action coming west from Africa. Here are some of the standard links for watching the action:

http://spaghettimodels.com/
https://www.accuweather.com/en/hurricane/atlantic
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=5

Gordon links:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at...?cone#contents
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/stor...efs_latest.png
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/stor...cks_latest.png
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/gra...nd120#contents

Everyone from Texas to the Florida panhandle should keep their eyes open IMO. New Orleans is in the middle of Gordon's projected path. Winds are not expected to reach hurricane strength, but storm surge on the coast, and in the larger bays, could once again be an issue IMO.

Stay safe everyone!

Peter
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Old 09-03-2018, 08:37 AM   #2
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It really looks like a good time to take a vacation to the Smokey Mountains for anybody along the Gulf Cost.
Seriously. If you can take the time off, it's a lot better to go, and take your Airstream, now, rather than wait till the last second, and getting stuck.

Even if absolutely nothing happens, it can be a fun vacation.
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Old 09-03-2018, 09:01 AM   #3
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The best tropical weather site is "Mike's weather page" and he takes all the models from every source and puts them on one page. Then you can make your own informed decision and not rely on the "We could all die" hype often found on local TV.
http://spaghettimodels.com/

Here in west central Florida, it's been hot and rainy every afternoon, so I'm hoping Gordon takes some of the moisture with it.

I also go to YouTube and check the live cams in Key West. Right now it looks partly cloudy in Mallory Square.


Rainy and breezy in Miami
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Old 09-03-2018, 10:05 AM   #4
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Mollysdad View Post
The best tropical weather site is "Mike's weather page" . . .
. . .
. . . which is the first link in Post #1.

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Old 09-03-2018, 05:55 PM   #5
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Hurricane warnings have just gone up for a stretch of the Alabama and Mississippi coast.

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at...?cone#contents
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/gra...d120#wcontents

. . . with the eye forecast to make landfall late tomorrow night.
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Old 09-03-2018, 11:09 PM   #6
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This radar loop gives a good overview of Gordon's progress as it clears Florida's west coast, and heads for New Orleans.

https://www.accuweather.com/en/us/so...r-radar?play=1

The center does not look too well organized at this time IMO.


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Old 09-03-2018, 11:13 PM   #7
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Gordon now predicted to be a CAT1 at landfall late tomorrow evening on the Mississippi Gulf Coast. Here is position and cone as of 11pm Eastern tonight.
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Old 09-04-2018, 02:14 AM   #8
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Gordon's projected path continues to center on New Orleans, which puts the dangerous NE quadrant's winds blowing directly onshore from Gulfport MS to Panama City FL, where the highest storm surge is likely. That part of the coast also took a direct hit last year in a couple of the hurricanes. Most of the oil drilling action is to the west of Gordon's path as I recall.

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Old 09-04-2018, 02:51 AM   #9
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NDBC buoy 42039, 115 NM SSE of Pensacola FL, and just east of Gordon's track, is showing winds of 30 knots and gusts of 35 knots.

https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_pa...?station=42039

The following graphs should update in real time I think as Gordon passes further north:

https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/show_plot....time_label=CDT





Wave heights are 8.5' and rising:


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Old 09-04-2018, 06:14 AM   #10
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PS -- 8:13 AM EDT:

The graphs in the last post are spiking up strongly [they update in real time]. I will look for another buoy to the north and west to track Gordon's arrival on the coast. The moving radar in Post #6 shows the outer heavy rain bands hitting the coast.

Stay safe!

Peter
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Old 09-04-2018, 07:54 AM   #11
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We are watching the progress of Gordon here in Central Time Florida. It is gray and breezy here this morning.

If Gordon follows the predicted path, we should be OK.

Brian
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Old 09-04-2018, 11:23 AM   #12
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It looks that way, Brian. The earlier charts seem to show the winds topping out, and the Pensacola Airport is showing fairly moderate conditions IMO.

http://w1.weather.gov/obhistory/KPNS.html

The right columns will be interesting to follow for the cumulative precipitation.

Peter
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Old 09-04-2018, 12:28 PM   #13
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Quote:
Originally Posted by OTRA15 View Post
. . . which is the first link in Post #1.

Yes, I totally agree with you. Two votes!
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Old 09-04-2018, 05:53 PM   #14
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Buoy 42012 44 NM SE of Mobile AL:

https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_pa...?station=42012

. . . had recent high winds of 42 knots and gusts of 56 knots, and air pressure of ~29.78 inches:




The easterly winds at Pensacola Airport [linked in Post #12] seem to have peaked already IMO, and the total precipitation is about 0.5" so far.

Gordon has been downgraded to a Tropical Storm and is forecast to become a Depression by the morning.

Peter
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Old 09-04-2018, 06:38 PM   #15
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NBC news just interviewed the owner of what looked to me like a 23fb in a permenant park situation who was using tie straps from tongue to ground anchors and going to ride it out.
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Old 09-05-2018, 02:22 AM   #16
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Another radar loop FYI:


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Old 09-05-2018, 05:24 AM   #17
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Hurricane Helene forming up off the coast of Africa?

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=5

The text below the map says:

"Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent"

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Old 09-05-2018, 05:57 AM   #18
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OTRA, Do you work for the weather channel? Your graphs, websites, knowledge of weather is amazing. If you had a Atlanta address, I would swear you were meteorologist Jim Cantore. Makes me wonder if their are any celebrities posting on the forums. Thanks for the heads up on hurricane activity OTRA.
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Old 09-05-2018, 06:23 PM   #19
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Thanks.

No, just an average citizen with a life-long interest in weather . . . and a more recent fascination with the scope of information available online.

Some would add . . . "and too much free time on your hands!"

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Old 09-05-2018, 06:33 PM   #20
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Good stuff here. I like the weather patterns. I grew up in SE Louisiana and been through some tough storms. Messaged my brother this morning and asked if they had a breezy night. He said “not bad. Feels good”. Reminds me of the past when being in the NW side of the storm equaled a rare north and dry / cooler wind.
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