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Old 09-11-2008, 06:34 PM   #1
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Hurricane Ike, In Harms Way

If you're anywhere on the upper Texas coast you should be on the road now heading north or west. This is going to be a bad one.



...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
TIDE LEVELS WILL BEGIN RISING FRIDAY MORNING AND WILL EXCEED
5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER ALONG THE UPPER TEXAS COAST AND
ALONG THE SHORELINES OF THE BAYS BY MID TO LATE MORNING FRIDAY.
WATER LEVELS WILL RISE RAPIDLY BY LATE AFTERNOON FRIDAY AS THE
STORM SURGE MOVES IN WITH WATER LEVELS PEAKING FRIDAY NIGHT AND
EARLY SATURDAY. MAXIMUM STORM TIDE LEVELS ARE HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON
THE TRACK OF THE STORM AND VARIATIONS IN THE TRACK OF ONLY 15
MILES CAN MAKE DIFFERENCES OF SEVERAL FEET MORE OR LESS FROM SOME
OF THESE VALUES.


MAXIMUM WATER LEVELS FORECAST:

SHORELINE OF MATAGORDA AND GALVESTON BAYS...15 TO 20 FEET

GULF-FACING COASTAL AREAS FROM MATAGORDA TO HIGH ISLAND INCLUDING
GALVESTON ISLAND...12 TO 16 FEET



LIFE THREATENING INUNDATION LIKELY!

ALL NEIGHBORHOODS...AND POSSIBLY ENTIRE COASTAL COMMUNITIES...
WILL BE INUNDATED DURING HIGH TIDE. PERSONS NOT HEEDING
EVACUATION ORDERS IN SINGLE FAMILY ONE OR TWO STORY HOMES WILL
FACE CERTAIN DEATH. MANY RESIDENCES OF AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION
DIRECTLY ON THE COAST WILL BE DESTROYED. WIDESPREAD AND
DEVASTATING PERSONAL PROPERTY DAMAGE IS LIKELY ELSEWHERE. VEHICLES
LEFT BEHIND WILL LIKELY BE SWEPT AWAY. NUMEROUS ROADS WILL BE
SWAMPED...SOME MAY BE WASHED AWAY BY THE WATER. ENTIRE FLOOD PRONE
COASTAL COMMUNITIES WILL BE CUTOFF. WATER LEVELS MAY EXCEED 9 FEET
FOR MORE THAN A MILE INLAND. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN MULTI-STORY
FACILITIES RISK BEING CUTOFF. CONDITIONS WILL BE WORSENED BY
BATTERING WAVES. SUCH WAVES WILL EXACERBATE PROPERTY DAMAGE...WITH
MASSIVE DESTRUCTION OF HOMES...INCLUDING THOSE OF BLOCK
CONSTRUCTION. DAMAGE FROM BEACH EROSION COULD TAKE YEARS TO
REPAIR.
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Old 09-11-2008, 07:22 PM   #2
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Crusty,

Thank you for posting this warning.

Everyone in harms way, get out, and take the travel trailers and motor homes with you. Many people left them when Charlie hit, and many could have used them.

Please, no home or posessions are worth you lives. We love you the way you are. You can recover loses, but not lives.

Thank you,

Marie
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Old 09-11-2008, 07:27 PM   #3
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yeh everyone needs to listen to this warning. being from NC we have hurricanes every year and there is always a few that the emergeny services have to go get.
People need to listen!!!
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Old 09-11-2008, 07:38 PM   #4
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Storm

I am glad we did not get hit by Ike being that it was so far down south of us in the gulf.
When I went to go surfing today though we had 12 to 15' swells coming in and the storm surge filled the bays up over the docks.Winds have been solid 35 to 40 with some gusts.tides are running really fast as the coast guard,State patrol,Paramedics and fire department was out trying to get someone who got sucked out of the pass and into the ocean.Luckily they got him.So beware everyone just because some of us are not in the path of this storm doesnt mean you wont get anything from it.I have seen things like this for years on the gulf coast.Good luck to those who are in the path though.
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Old 09-11-2008, 08:54 PM   #5
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From a Katrina survivor - GET OUT NOW........


Come east on I-10 or go North. BTW - it is rainig here hard. Outer bands are passing overhead but no big deal here. Should be over for us in the AM.
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Old 09-11-2008, 10:15 PM   #6
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Are you from Texas?

Hey y’all, all you Texans. The Georgia National Guard is on the ground already all over Texas to assist in the coming days. Got a call from our oldest daugters friend this afternoon about 5:00 o’clock.

“Hey Chief, know where we are?”

‘No, tell me Corporal”

“Some little town in West Texas called San Angelo. Trying to be nearby but out of the way of Ike. Ready to go where needed.”

“Well, keep yer head down and do a good job”.

After two deployments since 9/11, I expect these folks will do a fine job.

Y’all be careful. Two of our kids were born in San Angelo. We have a great love for Texas.

Good luck and God speed.

Jim
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Old 09-11-2008, 10:32 PM   #7
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I brought the Silver Streak home from storage yesterday as the projected pat of Ike brought it directly through our "new" home of eight months. Things changed this morning -- we were planning a 1600 departure for Laredo for a state park -- so we are seeing folks from farther up the coast coming to us.

The trailer will get a scrubbing inside and out (we lived in it for seven months last year and still need more elbow grease), and we are stocking non-perishables, supplies, etc that we won't need to gather up in order to go during a future storm.

The state of Texas is far better prepared than it was three years ago for Katrina and Rita, and there ought to be plenty of fuel. I spent Tuesday and Wednesday out on the highways and saw bus convoys being lead by DPS troopers, C-130's being flown in, and trucks full of fencing, directional signs, generators, etc, that ought to be on their way to the greater Houston area.

I'm glad to have a nice trailer, and the option of where I live as the storm has passed and damage assessment, power re-install, etc goes on.

Good luck on the roads tonight and tomorrow!
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Old 09-11-2008, 10:46 PM   #8
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Hope your wrong about the 15 ft. storm surge!!

We live in Shoreacres, Tx about 3 miles from upper Galveston Bay. Yesterday I boarded up my house, hooked up to my 27FB 2008 Intnl. CCD, and we headed to the small town of Blanco in the Texas Hill Country near Austin. We hope that the home place is still there when we get back next week. If not.... I guess we will become full timers for a while!! As I think about that, there are some pluses.... No commute, just park near the office. Never get bored with the scenery or an annoying neighbor..... just move! We appreciate everyone's thoughts and prayers.
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Old 09-11-2008, 10:47 PM   #9
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Jim & Susan View Post
“Well, keep yer head down and do a good job”.

After two deployments since 9/11, I expect these folks will do a fine job.
No doubt people are in good hands with the guard watching over them. I hope everyone stays safe!
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Old 09-11-2008, 11:47 PM   #10
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Crusty View Post
If you're anywhere on the upper Texas coast you should be on the road now heading north or west. This is going to be a bad one.



...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
TIDE LEVELS WILL BEGIN RISING FRIDAY MORNING AND WILL EXCEED
5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER ALONG THE UPPER TEXAS COAST AND
ALONG THE SHORELINES OF THE BAYS BY MID TO LATE MORNING FRIDAY.
WATER LEVELS WILL RISE RAPIDLY BY LATE AFTERNOON FRIDAY AS THE
STORM SURGE MOVES IN WITH WATER LEVELS PEAKING FRIDAY NIGHT AND
EARLY SATURDAY. MAXIMUM STORM TIDE LEVELS ARE HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON
THE TRACK OF THE STORM AND VARIATIONS IN THE TRACK OF ONLY 15
MILES CAN MAKE DIFFERENCES OF SEVERAL FEET MORE OR LESS FROM SOME
OF THESE VALUES.


MAXIMUM WATER LEVELS FORECAST:

SHORELINE OF MATAGORDA AND GALVESTON BAYS...15 TO 20 FEET

GULF-FACING COASTAL AREAS FROM MATAGORDA TO HIGH ISLAND INCLUDING
GALVESTON ISLAND...12 TO 16 FEET



LIFE THREATENING INUNDATION LIKELY!

ALL NEIGHBORHOODS...AND POSSIBLY ENTIRE COASTAL COMMUNITIES...
WILL BE INUNDATED DURING HIGH TIDE. PERSONS NOT HEEDING
EVACUATION ORDERS IN SINGLE FAMILY ONE OR TWO STORY HOMES WILL
FACE CERTAIN DEATH. MANY RESIDENCES OF AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION
DIRECTLY ON THE COAST WILL BE DESTROYED. WIDESPREAD AND
DEVASTATING PERSONAL PROPERTY DAMAGE IS LIKELY ELSEWHERE. VEHICLES
LEFT BEHIND WILL LIKELY BE SWEPT AWAY. NUMEROUS ROADS WILL BE
SWAMPED...SOME MAY BE WASHED AWAY BY THE WATER. ENTIRE FLOOD PRONE
COASTAL COMMUNITIES WILL BE CUTOFF. WATER LEVELS MAY EXCEED 9 FEET
FOR MORE THAN A MILE INLAND. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN MULTI-STORY
FACILITIES RISK BEING CUTOFF. CONDITIONS WILL BE WORSENED BY
BATTERING WAVES. SUCH WAVES WILL EXACERBATE PROPERTY DAMAGE...WITH
MASSIVE DESTRUCTION OF HOMES...INCLUDING THOSE OF BLOCK
CONSTRUCTION. DAMAGE FROM BEACH EROSION COULD TAKE YEARS TO
REPAIR.
Thanks for this. Where is this specific warning from? I'm not trying to downplay it, I just want folks to be able to see/go to the specific site to get more info.

-Josh
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Old 09-12-2008, 05:57 AM   #11
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In Harms Way

I left Austin yesterday for Weatherford, where I am sitting out Ike.
The roads were clear and I saw a lot of Red Cross & FEMA veh heading south.
I'm not close too I-35 but it will back up today.
This may only be a cat 2, but with Hurricane winds 100 miles out from the center, it's nothing too play with.
Good luck too all the last minute people.
By the way watch the gas price's along I-35. I saw them from $3.45 too $3.63. Some are ready too get you.

Gunny
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Old 09-12-2008, 06:24 AM   #12
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Quote:
Originally Posted by JDBfreeheel View Post
Thanks for this. Where is this specific warning from? I'm not trying to downplay it, I just want folks to be able to see/go to the specific site to get more info.

-Josh
I didn't see that exact text, but did see a similar notice from NOAA.
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Old 09-12-2008, 06:45 AM   #13
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Prayers, and preparedness

Hey Mods or Crusty-- would it be possible to re-title this thread and include "Hurricane Ike" in the title? I believe it will get more attention.

The winds on this one don't look like they're going to be that bad. But due to the huge diameter of the storm, it has generated a LOT of energy in the water, and that is why the stom surge is expected to be so bad.

Rednax-- I thought of you immediately. Please stay safe.

Those in Galveston-- My prayers are with you and yours. It is expected to be really bad for you. I hope you're already gone and reading this from a nice, dry RV park in Fredericksburg or Austin or some place further West.

Those in Houston-- If you're in a low-lying area, same thing, you have my prayers. If you're not, then I expect you already have family and friends staying with you.

I have friends from South of Houston who are headed here to Austin and might end up staying with me, in the Airstream in my driveway of all places!

You all have my prayers, Austin is currently being set up as a national guard/FEMA staging and evacuation area. Many of us here will be helping with the relief efforts in the coming days and weeks.

God Bless,
-Marcus
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Old 09-12-2008, 07:03 AM   #14
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I have changed the thread title to "Hurricane Ike, In Harms Way".
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