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Old 07-07-2019, 09:26 AM   #1
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Gulf storm later this week?

For everyone's planning . . . the National Hurricane Center estimates a 40% chance of a tropical storm developing later this week in the Gulf:

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=5

This radar loop will show the action for the storm, which is now located over MS/AL/TN, and can be followed in real time during the week:

https://www.accuweather.com/en/us/so...r-radar?play=1
[Hit Play at the upper left if the radar image is not in motion.]

Mike's Weather Page for general info: https://www.spaghettimodels.com/

The Pacific has had a couple of storms already, but the east coast has been inactive.

Travel safe,

Peter

PS -- Another overview map to watch:

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Old 07-08-2019, 12:56 AM   #2
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The chance of this becoming a storm within 5 days, has been raised to 70%, as of the 2 AM update this morning:

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=5

FYI
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Old 07-08-2019, 06:12 AM   #3
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Thatís GREAT! Iím headed to Camp Gulf in DESTIN Wednesday...... Iíll let you know what I find out when I get there....
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Old 07-08-2019, 06:28 AM   #4
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Hmmm. The movie ďIn Harmís WayĒ comes to mind. Good luck!
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Old 07-08-2019, 07:42 AM   #5
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That 70% just got raised to 80% FYI.

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Old 07-08-2019, 07:52 AM   #6
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I don't know how you got the gif map to embed, but it works great.

At least forming so close to the coast, the storm will hopefully have little time to strengthen.
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Old 07-08-2019, 08:44 AM   #7
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Looks like a big rain event for the Panhandle in a few days!
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Old 07-08-2019, 02:58 PM   #8
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Quote:
Originally Posted by rowiebowie View Post
I don't know how you got the gif map to embed, but it works great.
. . .
Thanks. On Mike's Weather Page, right-click [mouse needed?] on the map and choose Copy Image.

Then here, when composing a message, right-click and Paste. [or Edit/Paste in some browsers I think]

Not sure if these operations are do-able on phones/tablets/etc..

There is no substitute for a real computer and a mouse for many tasks IMO.

Peter

PS -- Just added there:

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Old 07-08-2019, 03:04 PM   #9
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Hi

Some of those tracks are right on top of people who still have blue tarps for roofing .....

Bob
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Old 07-08-2019, 03:10 PM   #10
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Tropical storms and hurricanes are not supposed to originate in the United States. This is very strange indeed.
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Old 07-08-2019, 05:26 PM   #11
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FWIW Alaska's temps are running 25% above average!

The Mike's site has added this other collection of projected paths for the system, which will update over time I think.

Peter


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Old 07-08-2019, 10:17 PM   #12
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Another forecast map of interest . . . showing the total 7-day rain possible:




That yellow zone calls for 15" of rain at the TX/LA Gulf Coast, even if the system never becomes a tropical storm or hurricane.

See this recent Key Message: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/news/key_me...g?201907082331
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Old 07-09-2019, 04:32 AM   #13
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GMFL View Post
Thatís GREAT! Iím headed to Camp Gulf in DESTIN Wednesday...... Iíll let you know what I find out when I get there....

Curious to know if you are still planning on heading into harm's way?
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Old 07-09-2019, 04:38 AM   #14
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"In Harm's Way" . . . what a film!

[click on URL at top to open a new window/tab with Full Screen etc. options available]


[Hat tip to Bruce eagletoo.]
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