|
|
07-12-2019, 07:03 AM
|
#41
|
Rivet Master
2014 20' Flying Cloud
Sag Harbor
, New York
Join Date: Jun 2015
Posts: 17,523
|
PS3 -- Ol' Miss' continues to rise faster than forecast:
Current water level:
Thu 7/11 1950 EDT 22.68'
Fri 7/12 0613 EDT 22.8'
Fri 7/12 0903 EDT 22.85'
Predicted Sat. high still at 25.0' . . . stay tuned.
|
|
|
07-12-2019, 07:07 AM
|
#42
|
Overkill Specialist
Commercial Member
2020 30’ Globetrotter
2014 23' International
Dadeville
, Alabama
Join Date: Oct 2015
Posts: 4,516
|
Water here is DESTIN in Double Red Flag and up about half way on the sand. No rain the speak of but no beach time today for sure.
|
|
|
07-12-2019, 08:10 AM
|
#43
|
Rivet Master
2017 26' Flying Cloud
Tampa
, Florida
Join Date: Feb 2017
Posts: 7,620
|
No doubt New Orleans will get a lot of rain.
I just checked Mike's weather page and the maximum sustained winds are 50 mph. Not exactly beach time, but a long way from the Cat 1 hurricane predicted a couple days ago. (74 mph).
I suspect they overestimate in order to cover any errors, but that leads me to factor that in to any prediction and wait.
Remember when NBC's Brian Williams reported on the bodies floating by his hotel during Katrina? Turns out his hotel wasn't in a flood area.
|
|
|
07-12-2019, 08:19 AM
|
#44
|
Rivet Master
2017 26' Flying Cloud
Tampa
, Florida
Join Date: Feb 2017
Posts: 7,620
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by GMFL
Water here is DESTIN in Double Red Flag and up about half way on the sand.
|
Double red flags indicate the water is closed to swimming due to dangerous conditions.
I don't doubt there are strong rip currents that would carry people away.
I remember seeing huge waves hitting the beach in Daytona Beach with a storm offshore. Maybe 15-20'.
There was a guy on a jet ski running in the waves having a blast. The police were trying to wave him in, but he ignored them. Obviously, they weren't going in after him. Insanity!
Hurricane flags are two red flags with black squares in the center.
|
|
|
07-12-2019, 09:13 AM
|
#45
|
Overkill Specialist
Commercial Member
2020 30’ Globetrotter
2014 23' International
Dadeville
, Alabama
Join Date: Oct 2015
Posts: 4,516
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by Mollysdad
Double red flags indicate the water is closed to swimming due to dangerous conditions.
I don't doubt there are strong rip currents that would carry people away.
I remember seeing huge waves hitting the beach in Daytona Beach with a storm offshore. Maybe 15-20'.
There was a guy on a jet ski running in the waves having a blast. The police were trying to wave him in, but he ignored them. Obviously, they weren't going in after him. Insanity!
Hurricane flags are two red flags with black squares in the center.
|
Yes,
Water is super nasty with a very well defined RIP current right in front of the campground.
|
|
|
07-12-2019, 09:13 AM
|
#46
|
Rivet Master
2014 20' Flying Cloud
Sag Harbor
, New York
Join Date: Jun 2015
Posts: 17,523
|
This offshore Station KMDJ in the National Data Buoy System should be in the NE quadrant of Barry for most of today:
https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=kmdj
. . . where winds are currently running at 42.9 knots from the South. The following chart should update in real time for the next few days, as Barry passes to the west:
As Barry moves north, the wind direction should become more westerly IMO:
I will look for a buoy which is right under the eye of this system, where the wind speed and direction can change rapidly as the eye passes over/nearby. Given that this storm is not a well-defined hurricane, the word "eye" is used loosely here.
Peter
|
|
|
07-12-2019, 11:53 AM
|
#48
|
Rivet Master
2014 20' Flying Cloud
Sag Harbor
, New York
Join Date: Jun 2015
Posts: 17,523
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by OTRA15
. . .
. . . where winds are currently running at 42.9 knots from the South.
. . .
|
The wind speed chart in Post #46 recently got up to 66 knots, or ~76 MPH.
Barry is starting to crank up the action.
Peter
|
|
|
07-12-2019, 02:19 PM
|
#50
|
Rivet Master
2014 20' Flying Cloud
Sag Harbor
, New York
Join Date: Jun 2015
Posts: 17,523
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by GMFL
Yes,
Water is super nasty with a very well defined RIP current right in front of the campground.
|
Looks like some serious rain may be moving onshore for you:
https://www.accuweather.com/en/us/so...r-radar?play=1
Peter
|
|
|
07-12-2019, 02:32 PM
|
#51
|
Overkill Specialist
Commercial Member
2020 30’ Globetrotter
2014 23' International
Dadeville
, Alabama
Join Date: Oct 2015
Posts: 4,516
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by OTRA15
|
Yep. Just finished a band of rain and wind.
|
|
|
07-12-2019, 02:49 PM
|
#52
|
4 Rivet Member
Currently Looking...
New Hyde Park
, New York
Join Date: Oct 2017
Posts: 429
|
Ronnie, that 27 GT would be a nice roomy fit right about now.
Stay dry!
__________________
Bruce
2021 Ram 1500 Laramie - 5.7L Hemi eTORQUE
Airstream Club International #2600
I’d rather be camping is an understatement!
|
|
|
07-12-2019, 05:46 PM
|
#53
|
Rivet Master
2014 20' Flying Cloud
Sag Harbor
, New York
Join Date: Jun 2015
Posts: 17,523
|
As Barry gets closer to the coast overnight, the water level at the Eugene Island station will be an important measure of storm surge. The next high tide is around 8 AM tomorrow morning, by which time Barry's southerly winds will have been pushing the Gulf's water northward all night. [See link in quote below.]
Right now it is dead low tide, and the water level may already be starting to spike up [see red line at link below]. This may be a short-term blip up, or the actual start of Barry's storm surge. We will know in a couple of hours +/-.
Prayers for everyone in southern Louisiana.
Peter
[Click on orange arrow to see the full Post #49 -- See Post #47 also.]
Quote:
Originally Posted by OTRA15
|
Here is the actual station 8764314:
The correct home page for this station follows -- sorry for the incorrect link earlier today:
https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/st...tml?id=8764314
|
|
|
07-13-2019, 03:05 AM
|
#54
|
Rivet Master
2014 20' Flying Cloud
Sag Harbor
, New York
Join Date: Jun 2015
Posts: 17,523
|
The storm surge water level is running about 3' above normal, and is rising at a fairly steep angle:
https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/wa...tml?id=8764314
One item of good news is that the Mississippi River chart in Post #38 has calmed down, and the high level expected today is much lower.
The following radar looks fairly ominous, for all the rain and action on the south portion of Barry. If that lower band holds together over the next two days, the rainfall could be overwhelming IMO. As the weather reporting has said, Barry remaining stationary over the warm Gulf waters, for the last day or two, has caused it to get stronger and more organized.
Prayers for southern Louisiana, and for the entire coastline of Texas down to Mexico.
Peter
|
|
|
07-13-2019, 03:58 AM
|
#56
|
Rivet Master
2014 20' Flying Cloud
Sag Harbor
, New York
Join Date: Jun 2015
Posts: 17,523
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by OTRA15
|
The water level continues to rise at a very steep angle, and is now about 6' above normal . . . a 3' increase from an hour ago.
Winds are from the south [pushing water up against the coast] and a recent gust was 60 knots [~70 MPH]:
https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/met.html?id=8764314
|
|
|
07-13-2019, 06:31 AM
|
#57
|
Rivet Master
2017 26' Flying Cloud
Tampa
, Florida
Join Date: Feb 2017
Posts: 7,620
|
The forward progress of Barry is 5 mph, NW.
When a storm slows, it means it will be in the area for a longer time, dumping rain that the lower Gulf Coast doesn't need.
If I remember, Irma came through my area at 20 mph, In/Out. Very little damage here.
|
|
|
07-13-2019, 06:43 AM
|
#58
|
Overkill Specialist
Commercial Member
2020 30’ Globetrotter
2014 23' International
Dadeville
, Alabama
Join Date: Oct 2015
Posts: 4,516
|
Looks like we are in the clear for now in Miramar Beach, just a little breezy today. Those folks to the west of us, P-Cola to New Orleans are going to get a ton of Rain. Most don’t need it or won’t be able to handle it so I suspect there will be lots of Flooding for the low lying areas due to the slow moving storm.
|
|
|
07-13-2019, 06:56 AM
|
#59
|
Rivet Master
2014 20' Flying Cloud
Sag Harbor
, New York
Join Date: Jun 2015
Posts: 17,523
|
Yup, "Many Rivers To Cross" on this one, unfortunately.
That tide gauge, linked recently, must have broken, as part of the red line is missing, and the chart no longer shows the 10' water level it did a few hours ago.
Stay safe,
Peter
|
|
|
07-13-2019, 07:25 AM
|
#60
|
Rivet Master
2014 20' Flying Cloud
Sag Harbor
, New York
Join Date: Jun 2015
Posts: 17,523
|
The "eye" [using that term loosely] may have passed near this station recently, as the wind and pressure lines appear to be shifting fairly quickly.
Quote:
Originally Posted by OTRA15
Barry's track is forecast to go close to this station:
https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_pa...?station=einl1
. . . where the following chart of combined data might prove interesting in the next 12 hours or so. Note that air pressure is dropping rapidly as the wind speed and gusts are increasing. If the eye of Barry comes close, that should be apparent on this chart:
. . .
|
|
|
|
|
|
Currently Active Users Viewing This Thread: 1 (0 members and 1 guests)
|
|
Thread Tools |
Search this Thread |
|
|
Display Modes |
Linear Mode
|
Posting Rules
|
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts
HTML code is Off
|
|
|
|
Recent Discussions |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|