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10-10-2018, 12:00 PM
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#21
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Rivet Master
2014 20' Flying Cloud
Sag Harbor
, New York
Join Date: Jun 2015
Posts: 17,523
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In case you missed the action today, this tide chart from Post #16 says it all -- about 7' above normal.
Prayers for everyone . . .
Quote:
Originally Posted by OTRA15
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10-10-2018, 03:45 PM
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#22
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Rivet Master
2014 20' Flying Cloud
Sag Harbor
, New York
Join Date: Jun 2015
Posts: 17,523
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That Shell Point water level is now about 10' above normal, and local high tide is not until later tonight.
Wave heights at the buoy SSE of Pensacola in Post #15 appear to have topped out at 31' .
Yes -- thirty-one foot seas . . .
Yikes!
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10-10-2018, 04:45 PM
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#23
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Rivet Master
1989 34.5' Airstream 345
Ebro
, Fla Panhandle
Join Date: Jul 2013
Posts: 1,212
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My brother and I both bugged out from the area just inland from Panama City Beach. I was at our place in Ebro, he was volunteering at Falling Waters park a bit farther north.
We now have both our airstreams parked at lake Martin in central Ala. so far it's gotten quite rainy but little wind so far. The storm will be passing well to the east of out location.
We both got out before the big evacuation crowds got going. So had nice drives into the pretty hilly country up this way. We are staying at a very nice state park called Wind Creek S P. And hope it doesn't live up to its name overnight.
It sounds like the conditions along the coast were pretty rough, both big surf and storm surge inundating large areas. And the high wind speeds continued well inshore, crossing the state line into Ala and Ga still at Cat 3.
So the damage may well be extensive and wide spread.
We are thinking of extending our stays here till Fri or sat. Little to be gained in rushing back to a disaster area. Except to see how bad it is at our place.
I'm bumming that my old Porsch is not running right now and had to be left behind. But that's a small thing in the larger scheme of things.
Cheers Richard
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10-10-2018, 06:55 PM
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#24
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Rivet Master
2014 20' Flying Cloud
Sag Harbor
, New York
Join Date: Jun 2015
Posts: 17,523
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The following buoy in Post #15 stopped reporting during the day FYI, just after the wave heights reached the 31' figure quoted earlier.
Quote:
Originally Posted by OTRA15
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__________________________________________________ _________________________________________________
Thanks for the report Richard, hope your place and the Porsche are OK! It would be interesting to know if Ebro has lost power, and how long it takes to restore it. Also whether Michael's storm surge came up the Chocktawatchee River toward you. I don't see that on the following graph, but FYI the river is expected to have some flooding over the next few days.
Peter
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/hydr...=bruf1&wfo=tae
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10-11-2018, 08:13 AM
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#25
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Rivet Master
2014 20' Flying Cloud
Sag Harbor
, New York
Join Date: Jun 2015
Posts: 17,523
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In the Florence thread, that Waccamaw River station at Conway SC may be starting to get run-off from Michael IMO. Subtle right now, but it would not be surprising to see the forecast level flatten out, or start rising. Right now the water level is 12.2' and the projected level is about 10.2' on next Tuesday 10/16/18. Because this graph updates in real time, these measurements are important to log here, for future reference IMO
The Florence thread is at the following link, with this graph first appearing in Post #80:
http://www.airforums.com/forums/f161...ce-186671.html
Prayers for the folks who have been homeless for weeks now.
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10-11-2018, 08:36 AM
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#26
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2 Rivet Member
Geismar
, Louisiana
Join Date: Jan 2013
Posts: 91
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I am glad you got out!
I am glad you decided to head for AL. These hurricanes are no joke and you can always come back to assess the damage later. All of those things can be replaced, you and your family can't be replaced. I am praying for you guys that you come home to as little damage as possible!
Good luck to anyone else who had stuck the storm out.
-Dane
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10-11-2018, 08:55 AM
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#27
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Rivet Master
2017 26' Flying Cloud
Tampa
, Florida
Join Date: Feb 2017
Posts: 7,638
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Back in my sailing days, we took a month and sailed to Carabelle, then Apalachicola, and eventually motored up the river to Panama City. On either side of the river the chart said "impenetrable swamp" and they weren't kidding. Mangroves and cypress as far as one could see. The town of St. Joe was little more than a stopping spot on the river.
I feel bad for Apalachicola because I loved the friendly, laid back attitude. Streets paved with oyster shells. Breakfast at the Rainbow hotel, marina, and restaurant, where the specialty was eggs and oysters.
Carrabelle was famous for the world's smallest police station. It's a phone booth. The cop car just sits near the phone so he can hear it ring. Ask the locals for the best food in town and they'd send you to "the boo-fay at Johnny's".
Good luck. They're real America, they'll help each other.
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10-11-2018, 09:24 AM
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#28
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Moderator
2015 25' FB Flying Cloud
2012 23' FB Flying Cloud
2005 25' Safari
Santa Rosa Beach
, Florida
Join Date: Jul 2006
Posts: 13,156
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We live three houses off of the ocean in Santa Rosa Beach, Florida. We decided to stay in place for the storm. We are located about 50 miles west of where Michael made landfall on Tyndall Airforce Base in Bay County. We were on the good side of the storm. During the height of the storm, our winds were from the north. Lucy was sitting out in the alley behind our house. She came through the storm unscathed. We did not sustain any significant damage. We were very fortunate.
Brain
__________________
SuEllyn & Brian McCabe
WBCCI #3628 -- AIR #14872 -- TAC #FL-7
2015 FC 25' FB (Lucy) with ProPride
2020 Silverado 2500 (Vivian)
2023 Rivian R1T (Opal)
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10-11-2018, 10:05 AM
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#29
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3 Rivet Member
2015 27' Flying Cloud
Jacksonville
, Florida
Join Date: Sep 2016
Posts: 128
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Whoo, moisetags, glad you're ok. I think a long beach rehab is in order around appalachicola. Lots of wind damage/ big trees down in Tallahassee, but life and limbs intact. No power but things could have been much worse here. Thank you for your support everyone.
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10-12-2018, 06:52 AM
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#30
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Half a Rivet Short
2017 30' Classic
2022 Interstate 24X
Carlisle
, Pennsylvania
Join Date: May 2017
Posts: 15,684
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Hi
It's trivia, but ... why not ... Richmond VA closed schools yesterday due to the impact (rain / flooding) of this storm.
Even as far inland as western VA the rain was pretty major ( = driving was no fun / water across the interstate ). Just when you think you outran it ....
Bob
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10-12-2018, 03:21 PM
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#31
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3 Rivet Member
2015 27' Flying Cloud
Jacksonville
, Florida
Join Date: Sep 2016
Posts: 128
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Quote:
Originally Posted by uncle_bob
Hi
It's trivia, but ... why not ... Richmond VA closed schools yesterday due to the impact (rain / flooding) of this storm.
Even as far inland as western VA the rain was pretty major ( = driving was no fun / water across the interstate ). Just when you think you outran it ....
Bob
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You can run but you just can't hide sometimes, uncle_bob. Glad that ride is over for you...
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10-12-2018, 06:04 PM
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#32
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Rivet Master
2014 20' Flying Cloud
Sag Harbor
, New York
Join Date: Jun 2015
Posts: 17,523
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FYI here is NOAA's aerial imagery after Michael:
https://oceanservice.noaa.gov/news/o...m-imagery.html
Similar to the news reports, the before and after photos are amazing. At the top right is a drop-down menu to let you choose the Before image.
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10-15-2018, 04:29 PM
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#33
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Master of Universe
2008 25' Safari FB SE
Grand Junction
, Colorado
Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 12,702
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Brian, or Brain as you signed your last post, glad to hear you made it through ok.
__________________
Gene
The Airstream is sold; a 2016 Nash 24M replaced it.
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10-18-2018, 06:16 AM
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#34
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Oldironnut
2015 25' FB Flying Cloud
Thomasville
, Georgia
Join Date: Nov 2016
Posts: 12
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Finally made it down to our place at St Joe Beach, 1 mile east of Mexico Beach day before yesterday. The carnage is mind numbing. The few OB’s that were left in the new RV park near the intersection of 386 and 98 were all destroyed.
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10-19-2018, 08:50 AM
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#35
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Half a Rivet Short
2017 30' Classic
2022 Interstate 24X
Carlisle
, Pennsylvania
Join Date: May 2017
Posts: 15,684
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Hi
Every time we got through this there is the same question that pops up - why abandon your RV to be pretty much certainly destroyed? I'm sure there are a lot of answers to the question.
Bob
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04-19-2019, 12:01 PM
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#36
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Rivet Master
2014 20' Flying Cloud
Sag Harbor
, New York
Join Date: Jun 2015
Posts: 17,523
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Hurricane Michael now a Category 5
Given the severe damage, and very-long-term recovery times for many folks on the Gulf Coast, it is not surprising that Hurricane Michael has been upgraded to a category 5 storm, based on the the "rear view mirror" analysis:
https://www.accuweather.com/en/weath...eview/70008042
https://www.noaa.gov/media-release/h...of-us-landfall
. . . with sustained winds estimated at 160 MPH!
Prayers for those still recovering.
Peter
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