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Originally Posted by Airstream25 Mike, I took your actual total membership numbers above, pasted them into Excel and did an extrapolation.
The result is attached. This result assumes nothing more radical happens than the variation typical of the last decade.
Click on graph for a larger view. |
This is EXACTLY what I was talking about for the past two or so years with current WBCCI members throwing mostly everything but their RVs dual pan kitchen sink my way.
I don't think the club will totally go away, but think you'll find splintered off units that will no doubt go it alone without an international presence. My guess is that it will take less than 25 years for this to happen. I'm thinking around 10. Why? Mother Nature. A fair number of folks (who represent the bulk of the current membership nationally) are above a certain age and with fewer and fewer new folks joining the ranks, when Airstream sales are and have been for the past 3-4 years been at their highest........it doesn't take a PHD to connect the dots.